Good news from Talking Points Memo regarding election polls:
Here’s a wrap-up of the four major national tracking polls for today, containing the first full day of sampling since John McCain’s pseudo-suspension — and Barack Obama is extending his lead:
â€¢ Gallup: Obama 48%, McCain 45%, with a Â±2% margin of error. Yesterday, the candidates were tied 46%-46%.
â€¢ Rasmussen: Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a Â±2% margin of error, compared to an Obama lead yesterday of 49%-46%.
â€¢ Hotline/Diageo: Obama 49%, McCain 42%, with a Â±3.2% margin of error, compared to a 47%-43% Obama lead yesterday.
â€¢ Research 2000: Obama 48%, McCain 43%, with a Â±3% margin of error. Yesterday, Obama was up 49%-43%.
Adding these polls together and weighting them by sample sizes, Obama is ahead by a margin of 48.9%-44.5%, almost double his margin from yesterday’s 47.7%-45.3%.